Experimental Forecast Program

The NOAA HWT Experimental Forecast Program (EFP) is focused on the use of computer models of the atmosphere to improve predictions of hazardous and convective weather events from a few hours to a week in advance, and over several counties to the continental U.S. The EFP supports the NWS goal to increase lead-time and accuracy for weather and water warnings and forecasts.

The NOAA HWT EFP Spring Experiment is a yearly project that investigates the use of convection-allowing model forecasts as guidance for the prediction of hazardous convective weather. A variety of model output is examined and evaluated daily, and experimental forecasts are created and verified to test the applicability of cutting-edge tools in a simulated forecasting environment. The variety of model output allows us to explore different types of guidance, including products derived from both ensembles and deterministic forecasts, and to provide focused feedback to model developers.

2016 Spring Forecasting Experiment

The 2016 Spring Forecasting Experiment will be held from May 2 through June 3 in the HWT facility at the National Weather Center in Norman. The experiment is scheduled to run Monday through Friday from 8am to 4pm. More information about this year's experiment can be found in the 2016 Spring Forecasting Experiment Operations Plan.