HWT: 2018 Supported Research

Demonstration of a rapid update convection-permitting ensemble forecast system to improve hazardous weather prediction

Dates: September 1, 2017–August 31, 2019

Funding organization/program:

  • OWAQ, Hazardous Weather Testbed

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Glen Romine (UCAR)

Integration of Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor azimuthal shear into a CONUS conditional probability of tornado intensity product in the Hazardous Weather Testbed

Dates: September 1, 2017–August 31, 2019

Funding organization/program:

  • OWAQ, Hazardous Weather Testbed

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Matthew Mahalik (CIMMS, NOAA/OAR/NSSL)
  • Alan Gerard (NOAA/OAR/NSSL)

Improving NWS convection allowing hazardous weather ensemble forecasts through optimizing multi-scale initial condition (IC) perturbations

Dates: September 1, 2017–August 31, 2019

Funding organization/program:

  • OWAQ, Hazardous Weather Testbed

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Xuguang Wang (University of Oklahoma)

Evaluating stochastic physics approaches within select Convection Allowing Model (CAM) members included in the CLUE during the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) Spring Experiment

Dates: September 1, 2017–August 31, 2019

Funding organization/program:

  • OWAQ, Hazardous Weather Testbed

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Jamie Wolff (UCAR)
  • Isidora Jankov (Colorado State University, CIRA)

Developing an objective evaluation scorecard for storm scale prediction

Dates: September 1, 2017–August 31, 2019

Funding organization/program:

  • OWAQ, Hazardous Weather Testbed

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Tara Jensen (UCAR)

Development and optimization of radar-assimilating ensemble-based data assimilation for storm-scale ensemble prediction in support of HWT Spring Experiments

Dates: September 1, 2017–August 31, 2019

Funding organization/program:

  • OWAQ, Hazardous Weather Testbed

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Ming Xue (University of Oklahoma)

Improving the design and utility to severe weather forecasters of convection permitting ensembles through application of a probabilistic object-based post-processing and verification technique

Dates: September 1, 2017–August 31, 2019

Funding organization/program:

  • OWAQ, Hazardous Weather Testbed

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Aaron Johnson (University of Oklahoma)

Assessing the impact of assimilating ground-based infrared radiometer data into convective-scale numerical weather prediction models

Dates: October 1, 2016–September 30, 2018

Funding organization/program:

  • OWAQ, Joint Technology Transfer Initiative

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Tim Wagner (University of Wisconsin, CIMSS)

Development of NWS convective scale ensemble forecasting capability through improving GSI-based hybrid ensemble-variational data assimilation and evaluating the multi-dynamic core approach

Dates: October 1, 2016–September 30, 2018

Funding organization/program:

  • OWAQ, Joint Technology Transfer Initiative

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Xugang Wang (University of Oklahoma)

Development and implementation of probabilistic hail forecast products using multi-moment microphysics and machine learning algorithms

Dates: October 1, 2016–September 30, 2018

Funding organization/program:

  • OWAQ, Joint Technology Transfer Initiative

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Nathan Snook (University of Oklahoma)
  • Ming Xue (University of Oklahoma)
  • Youngsun Jung (University of Oklahoma)
  • Amy McGovern (University of Oklahoma)

FACETs: Developing operationally-ready Hazard Services-Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) for convective hazards

Dates: November 1, 2017–October 31, 2020

Funding organization/program:

  • OWAQ, Joint Technology Transfer Initiative

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Tracy Hansen (NOAA/OAR/ESRL/GSD)