HWT: 2021 Supported Research

0-3 hour tornado prediction using the Warn on Forecast System (WoFS) and machine learning

Dates: September 1, 2020–August 31, 2022

Funding organization/program:

  • Weather Program Office (WPO), Joint Technology Transfer Initiative

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Nate Snook (University of Oklahoma)
  • David John Gagne (NCAR)

Flow-dependent machine learning based post-processing of convection allowing ensembles to provide convective outlooks of severe weather hazards

Dates: September 1, 2020–August 31, 2022

Funding organization/program:

  • Weather Program Office (WPO)
  • Joint Technology Transfer Initiative

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Aaron Johnson (University of Oklahoma)

Generating calibrated forecast guidance for severe weather beyond day 1

Dates: September 1, 2020–August 31, 2022

Funding organization/program:

  • Weather Program Office (WPO)
  • Joint Technology Transfer Initiative

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Russ Schumacher (Colorado State University)

HWT: 2022 Supported Research

Enhancing the Storm Prediction Center’s Convective Outlook with continuous probabilities and conditional intensity forecasts

Dates: September 1, 2021–August 31, 2023

Funding organization/program:

  • Weather Program Office (WPO), Joint Technology Transfer Initiative

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Joe Ripberger (University of Oklahoma)

HWT: 2023 Supported Research

Probabilistic prediction of thunderstorm hazards using the NOAA Warn-on-Forecast System and machine learning

Dates: September 1, 2022-August 31, 2025

Funding organization/program:

  • Weather Program Office (WPO), Joint Technology Transfer Initiative

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Montgomery Flora (CIWRO/University of Oklahoma)

A Weather-Ready Nation para todos: Evaluating current practices in communicating hazardous weather risks to Spanish speakers

Dates: September 1, 2022-August 31, 2025

Funding organization/program:

  • Weather Program Office (WPO), Joint Technology Transfer Initiative

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Justin Reedy (University of Oklahoma)

HWT: 2026 Supported Research

A Convection-allowing Ensemble System for Short-term Probabilistic Forecasts of Severe Convective Hazards Based on the MPAS Dynamic Core

Dates: September 1, 2025–August 31, 2028

Funding organization/program:

  • Weather Program Office (WPO), U.S. Weather Research Program (USWRP)

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Nusrat Yussouf (University of Oklahoma)
  • Craig Schwartz (NSF NCAR)

Advancing and Integrating the Next Generation RRFS and WoFS Ensemble Data Assimilation

Dates: June 1, 2025–May 31, 2028

Funding organization/program:

  • Weather Program Office (WPO), Joint Technology Transfer Initiative

Principal investigators and affiliations:

  • Terra Ladwig (NOAA/OAR/GSL)
  • Lou Wicker (NOAA/OAR/NSSL)